Tropical Cyclone HONDE-25
التاريخ
2025-02-25
إلى 2025-03-05
الإحداثيات
خط العرض:
-32.49
خط الطول:
49.04
مقياس الخطر
disaster Details
Event summary
Tropical Cyclone HONDE-25 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.
| GDACS ID | TC 1001152 |
| Name | HONDE-25 |
| Glide number: | TC-2025-000025-MDG |
| From - To | 25 Feb - 05 Mar |
| Exposed countries | Madagascar |
| Exposed population | 230 thousand in Category 1 or higher |
| Maximum wind speed | 137 km/h Category 1 |
| Maximum storm surge | 0.3 m (01 Mar 00:00 UTC) |
| Vulnerability | High (Madagascar) |
GDACS Score
| Wind | Storm surge | Rainfall | GDACS score | |
| WMO-RSMC La Réunion | 137 km/h | 0.3 m | n.a. | 1.5 |
| GDACS JTWC | 130 km/h | n.a. | n.a. | 0.5 | Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall) |
| HWRF | 140 km/h | 0.9 m | 965 mm | 0.5 |
| GFS | 187 km/h | 1.1 m | 807 mm | 0.5 |
| ECMWF | 133 km/h | 0.8 m | 478 mm | 0.5 |
- The passage of the tropical cyclone HONDE very close (approximately 100 km south) to the southern coast of Madagascar over the period from 28 February to 1 March, with maximum sustained winds up to 137 km/h, caused very heavy rainfall and strong winds that have resulted in casualties and severe damage.
- The National Risk and Disaster Management Programme of Madagascar (BNGRC), UN OCHA, and media report, as of 5 February, three fatalities, 69 injured people, 21,600 evacuated people, and a total of more than 43,200 affected people across southern and central-western regions of the country, where the worst affected are the Atsimo-Andrefana region and the Menabe region. In addition, the same sources also report over 1,900 destroyed and around 7,200 damaged houses across the affected area.
- Over the next 72 hours, more heavy rainfall is forecast over southern and central Madagascar.
- On 25 February, tropical storm GARANCE continued gaining strength while moving southeast. On 26 February 6.00 UTC, its centre was located over the southern Indian Ocean approximately 385 km north-west of Reunion and approximately 475 km north-west of Mauritius, with maximum sustained winds of 108 km/h.
- On the forecast track, GARANCE is expected to furhter strengthen into a tropical cyclone, and to make landfall over north-eastern Reunion on 27 February in the afternoon, with maximum sustained winds up to 190 km/h.
- Meanwhile, a new tropical storm named HONDE formed over the Mozambique Channel on 25 February and started moving toward Madagascar. On 26 February 6.00 UTC, its centre was located over the Channel approximately 515 km east of the far south-eastern Madagascar coast, with maximum sustained winds of 97 km/h.
- Over the next 72 hours, heavy rainfall, strong winds, and storm surges are forecast over Reunion, Mauritius, and central and southern Madagascar.
- Tropical cyclone GARANCE is turning southward in the Southern Indian Ocean. On 27 February at 0.00 UTC, it was located approximately 340 km north of Réunion (France) with maximum winds of 179 km/h.
- GARANCE is forecast to strengthen and make landfall in Réunion early 28 February, with maximum winds of 130 km/h and gusts between 170 and 200 km/h (reported by COGIC).
- Authorities carried out anticipation and planning work to prepare the operational response.
- Meanwhile, tropical cyclone HONDE is moving southeast in the Mozambique Channel towards south-western Madagascar. On 27 February at 0.00 UTC, it is located approximately 356 km west of Toliara city, with maximum winds of 127 km/h.
- HONDE is forecast to strengthen and pass close to southern Madagascar on 1-2 March, with winds up to 137 km/h.
- For the next 48 hours, heavy to very heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surge are expected across Réunion and south-western Madagascar. Réunion is under orange cyclone alert, while red warnings are in force in parts of Madagascar.
- On 27 February, tropical cyclone GARANCE continued moving south while strengthening. On 28 February around 6.00 UTC, it made landfall over the north of Réunion, with maximum winds of 179 km/h.
- According to media, emergency accommodation centres have opened across Réunion. Around 500 people already evacuated, and schools and airports are closed.
- GARANCE is forecast to move southward over central Réunion on 28 February in the morning, slightly weakening.
- Copernicus EMS was activated () on 27 February.
- Meanwhile, tropical cyclone HONDE continued eastwards over the Mozambique Channel toward Madagascar. On 28 February at 6.00 UTC, it was located offshore approximately 80 km south of the south-western Madagascar coast, with maximum winds of 137 km/h.
- Over the next 24 hours, very heavy rainfall, strong winds, and storm surges are forecast over Réunion, while heavy rainfall is forecast over Mauritius. Météo France La Réunion issued the purple cyclone alert over the whole island. Over the next 72 hours, heavy rainfall with locally very heavy rainfall is forecast over southern and central Madagascar.
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Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)
Estimated casualties (PAGER)
USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.
Exposed population
Data, images, links, services and documents
For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), (2), WMO (1), INFORM (2),
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