Tropical Cyclone DIKELEDI-25
Date
2025-01-08
to 2025-01-17
Coordinates
Lat:
-34.61
Lon:
58.47
Danger Scale
Disaster Details
Event summary
Tropical Cyclone DIKELEDI-25 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.
| GDACS ID | TC 1001135 |
| Name | DIKELEDI-25 |
| Glide number: | TC-2025-000009-MDG |
| From - To | 08 Jan - 17 Jan |
| Exposed countries | Madagascar, Mozambique, Comoros |
| Exposed population | 710 thousand in Category 1 or higher |
| Maximum wind speed | 201 km/h Category 3 |
| Maximum storm surge | 0.7 m (12 Jan 00:00 UTC) |
| Vulnerability | High (Madagascar) |
GDACS Score
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.
| Wind | Storm surge | Rainfall | GDACS score | |
| WMO-RSMC La Réunion | 201 km/h | 0.7 m | n.a. | 1.5 |
| GDACS JTWC | 185 km/h | n.a. | n.a. | 1.5 | Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall) |
| HWRF | 198 km/h | 0.9 m | 633 mm | 1.5 |
| GFS | 148 km/h | n.a. | 389 mm | 0.5 |
| ECMWF | 144 km/h | 0.8 m | 472 mm | 0.5 |
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different
data sources
.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Madagascar - Tropical Cyclone DIKELEDI (ECHO 14 Jan 2025)
Thu, 09 Jan 2025 11:52
- A new tropical cyclone formed over the southern Indian Ocean and is moving westwards over northern Madagascar. On 9 January at 0.00 UTC, its centre is located approximately 1,700 km east of the north-eastern coast of Madagascar with maximum sustained winds of 74 km/h (tropical storm).
- DIKELEDI is forecast to continue westward strengthening. On 10 January, it will pass north of Saint-Brandon (Mauritius) and Tromelin (France) islands. After that, it is expected to make landfall over northern Madagascar on 11 January, affecting particularly the Diana, Sava, and Ambatosoa regions.
- On 9-10 January, heavy rain and strong winds are expected over Saint-Brandon island (Mauritius) and Tromelin (France) while from 11 January heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surge are forecast across northern Madagascar.
Madagascar - Tropical cyclone DIKELEDI, update (ECHO 15 Jan 2025)
Fri, 10 Jan 2025 11:34
- On 9 January, tropical cyclone DIKELEDI continued moving westward over the southwestern Indian Ocean, passing far off the Saint Brandon island, far northern Mauritius, as a tropical storm, strengthening. On 10 January at 6.00 UTC its centre was located offshore approximately 690 km east of the coast of northeastern Madagascar, with maximum sustained winds of 106 km/h (tropical storm).
- On the forecast track, DIKELEDI is forecast to make landfall just north of the area of the Vohemar town, Antsiranana province, far northeastern Madagascar on 11 January in the mid-afternoon (UTC), with maximum sustained winds up to 179 km/h (tropical cyclone).
- Over the next 24 hours, heavy rainfall is forecast over northern Madagascar. More heavy rainfall with locally very heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surges are forecast over central and northern Madagascar starting from 11 January.
DIKELEDI-25 - EC/ECHO daily map
Fri, 10 Jan 2025 17:41
A new EC/ECHO daily map is now available
A new EC/ECHO daily map is now available
Madagascar, Mayotte (France), Comoros, Mozambique - Tropical cyclone DIKELEDI, update (ECHO 17 Jan 2025)
Mon, 13 Jan 2025 12:20
- On 11 January, tropical cyclone DIKELEDI passed over the far northern Madagascar, on the following day it passed south of Mayotte (France) and Comoros. On 13 January at 6.00 UTC its centre was located offshore over the Mozambique Channel, approximately 75 km east of the coast of the Nampula province, northeastern Mozambique, with maximum sustained winds of 137 km/h.
- Media report, as of 13 January, three fatalities, and around 15,200 displaced people across northern Madagascar. In addition, the Interdepartmental Crisis Management Operational Centre (COGIC) reports approximately 20,000 evacuated people across Mayotte.
- DIKELEDI is forecast to pass along the coast of the Nampula province on 13 January, with maximum sustained winds up to 155 km/h. After that, it is expected to continue moving southward over the Mozambique Channel on 14-15 January, further strengthening.
- Over the next 96 hours, very heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surges are forecast over most of Madagascar. The same conditions are also forecast over the next 48 hours for Mayotte, Comoros, and the central-northern coast of Mozambique.
Madagascar, Mayotte (France), Comoros, Mozambique - Tropical cyclone DIKELEDI, update (ECHO 17 Jan 2025)
Tue, 14 Jan 2025 11:28
- On 13 January, tropical cyclone DIKELEDI continued westward over the Mozambique Channel and made landfall south of the Nacala city, northern Nampula province, northeastern Mozambique around 12.00 UTC, with maximum sustained winds up to 158 km/h. On 14 January at 6.00 UTC its centre was located offshore over the Mozambique Channel, just off the coast of southern Nampula province, with maximum sustained winds of 114 km/h (tropical storm).
- In northern Madagascar, UN OCHA reports as of 13 January, three fatalities, 352 evacuated people in six temporary sites, 11 destroyed, 370 damaged houses, 69 damaged or destroyed schools, and a total of 5,216 affected people.
- DIKELEDI is forecast to continue southeastward over the Mozambique Channel on 14-16 January, further strengthening, with maximum sustained winds up to 232 km/h.
- Over the next 48 hours, very heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surges are forecast over the whole Madagascar, and central-northern Mozambique. The same conditions are also forecast over southern Mozambique starting from 15 January.
Mozambique, Madagascar - Tropical Cyclone DIKELEDI, update (ECHO 20 Jan 2025)
Wed, 15 Jan 2025 11:09
- Tropical cyclone DIKELEDI is moving southwards in the Mozambique Channel after it made landfall over northern Nampula province, northeastern Mozambique. On 15 January at 6.00 UTC its centre was located 306 km west of Morombe urban municipality, Atsimo-Andrefana region, with maximum sustained winds of 120 km/h (tropical storm).
- After its passage on 11 January over northern Madagascar, national authorities report that the death toll stands at three people, 352 people have been displaced and 5,803 affected across Analanjirofo, Diana and Sava regions, northern Madagascar.
- DIKELEDI is forecast to move south-east strengthening over the sea and it will pass approximately 200 km west of the south-western coast of Madagascar on 15-16 January strengthening. After that, it will continue over the southern Indian Oceanweakening and dissipating in the sea.
- On 15-17 January, moderate to heavy rain with locally heavy rainfall is expected across most parts of Madagascar and central-eastern Mozambique while strong winds are forecasted particularly over the western and south-western coast of Madagascar.
DIKELEDI-25 - EC/ECHO daily map
Wed, 15 Jan 2025 18:03
A new EC/ECHO daily map is now available
A new EC/ECHO daily map is now available
Madagascar and Mozambique - Tropical cyclone DIKELEDI, update (ECHO 21 Jan 2025)
Thu, 16 Jan 2025 11:24
- Tropical cyclone DIKELEDI is moving south-west over the southern Indian Ocean after it moved almost 200 km west of the south-western coast of Madagascar. Following its passage on 11 January in Madagascar and 13-14 January over north-eastern Mozambique, the humanitarian impact is increasing.
- According to the National Risk and Disaster Management Programme of Madagascar (BNGRC), the death toll stands at three, more than 7,000 people have been affected across Analanjirofo, Diana and Sava regions, northern Madagascar, 209 houses have been destroyed and 1,092 damaged.
- In Mozambique, the National Institute for Disaster Risk Management and Reduction (INGD) reports five fatalities, four injured people and more than 39,000 affected and almost 3,000 destroyed houses.
- DIKELEDI is expected to continue south-west over the sea and it could weaken and dissipate on 17-18 January.
- On 16-18 January, moderate to heavy rain with locally heavy rainfall is expected across most parts of Madagascar (particularly the southern regions) and central-eastern Mozambique.
Mozambique - Tropical cyclone DIKELEDI, update (ECHO 25 Jan 2025)
Mon, 20 Jan 2025 10:38
- Tropical cyclone DIKELEDI made landfall over the coastal Nampula province, north-eastern Mozambique on the morning of 13 January and passed over the eastern area of the province on 13-14 January. Its passage caused very heavy rainfall resulted in casualties and severe damage.
- As of 17 January, the National Institute for Disaster Risk Management and Reduction (INGD) reports that tropical cyclone DIKELEDI has left 249,787 affected people (49,407 families), 11 deaths, 47,216 damaged or destroyed houses and 43 health centres and 154 schools damaged.
- Over the next 72 hours, heavy rainfall with locally very heavy rainfall is still forecast over most of Mozambique, except over the southern area.
Madagascar, Mozambique - Tropical cyclone DIKELEDI, update (ECHO 22 Jan 2025)
Fri, 17 Jan 2025 12:38
- On 16 January, tropical cyclone DIKELEDI continued southeastward over the southern Indian Ocean, well off the coast of southern Madagascar, with maximum sustained winds up to 201 km/h. On 17 January at 6.00 UTC its centre was located over the far southern Indian Ocean, approximately 1,250 km south-east of Madagascar, with maximum sustained winds of 127 km/h.
- In northern Madagascar, UN OCHA reports as of 17 January, three fatalities, more than 7,000 affected people, and over 2,000 damaged or destroyed houses. In central and northern Mozambique, the death toll stands at five. In addition, the National Institute for Disaster Risk Management and Reduction (INGD) reports around 50,000 affected people, and approximately 11,000 damaged or destroyed houses.
- DIKELEDI is forecast to continue eastward over the southern Indian Ocean on 17-19 January, further weakening and dissipating on 20 January.
- Over the next 72 hours, heavy rainfall with locally very heavy rainfall is still forecast over central and southern Madagascar, and central Mozambique.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2025. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.
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For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), (2), WMO (1), INFORM (2),
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