Tropical Cyclone JUDE-25

Date

2025-03-08

to 2025-03-16

Coordinates

Lat: -26.04
Lon: 51.93

Danger Scale

Disaster Details

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone JUDE-25 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID	TC 1001154
Name	JUDE-25
Glide number:	TC-2025-000027-MOZ
From - To	08 Mar - 16 Mar
Exposed countries	Mozambique, Madagascar
Exposed population	2 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	148 km/h Category 1
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (10 Mar 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Mozambique)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here .

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
WMO-RSMC La Réunion	148 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	2.5
GDACS JTWC	148 km/h	0.7 m	n.a.	2.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF	166 km/h	0.8 m	532 mm	0.5
GFS	155 km/h	0.7 m	513 mm	0.5
ECMWF	133 km/h	0.6 m	501 mm	0.5

Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources .

Virtual OSOCC

Meteo assessment

Satellite products

Analytical products

JUDE-25 - EC/ECHO daily map Mon, 10 Mar 2025 16:36

A new EC/ECHO daily map is now available

Mozambique, Malawi, Madagascar - Tropical cyclone JUDE, update (ECHO 16 Mar 2025) Tue, 11 Mar 2025 12:28

Tropical cyclone JUDE made landfall on 10 March over the Nampula province in Mozambique, bringing heavy rain and strong winds. On 11 March at 0.00 UTC, its centre was located inland approximately 100 km east of Ribaue city of the Ribáuè district with maximum sustained winds of 74 km/h (tropical storm) with gusts up to 95 km/h, and it is weakening.
JUDE is forecast to move southwestwards across northern Mozambique and circulate near southern Malawi's border untill the early morning of 12 March and, after that, it will change direction moving southeast across central Mozambique.
According to media, on 7 March JUDE caused one fatality, one injured person and 3,600 displaced people in Tomasina province in northern Madagascar. In Mozambique, more than 40,000 people have been affected by power outages and several flights have been cancelled.
On 10 March, the Copernicus Emergency Management Service () was activated in rapid mapping mode.
On 11-12 March, heavy rainfall and strong winds are forecast over northern and central Mozambique and southern Malawi.

JUDE-25 - Copernicus EMS activation Wed, 12 Mar 2025 01:34

[EMSR793] Tropical Cyclone JUDE in Mozambique

Mozambique, Malawi, Madagascar - Tropical cyclone JUDE, update (ECHO 17 Mar 2025) Wed, 12 Mar 2025 10:37

On 11 March, tropical cyclone JUDE continued south-west inland over the Zambezia province, northern Mozambique and the neighbouring southern Malawi, as a tropical depression. On 12 March at 6.00 UTC its centre was located over the Tete province, north-western Mozambique, with maximum sustained winds of 51 km/h (tropical depression).
Preliminary reports by the National Institute for Disaster Management (INGD) in Mozambique reported 6 deaths, 20 injured, 9,525 affected people, 908 houses totally and 991 houses partially destroyed, as well as 9 health centres and 59 schools affected. These numbers are expected to increase as the assessments are ongoing.
UN OCHA reports, as of 11 March, one fatality, one injured person, more than 3,600 displaced people in nine shelters, and a total of 4,100 affected people across Madagascar. Some 1,300 houses have been flooded, with 37 destroyed and 37 schoools affected.
On 10 March, the Copernicus Emergency Management Service was activated in rapid mapping mode ().
JUDE is forecast to continue south-east over the Zambezia and Sofala provinces on 12 March, as a tropical depression. Over the next 48 hours, very heavy rainfall, strong winds, and storm surges are forecast over most of Mozambique, most of Madagascar and central-southern Malawi.

JUDE-25 - UNITAR-UNOSAT Activation Thu, 13 Mar 2025 06:13

UNITAR-UNOSAT Potentially Damaged Buildings has been activated

Mozambique, Malawi, Madagascar - Tropical Cyclone JUDE, update (ECHO 18 Mar 2025) Thu, 13 Mar 2025 10:45

Tropical cyclone JUDE reached the Mozambique channel after it crossed northern-central Mozambique on 12 March. On 13 March at 0.00 UTC, its centre was located approximately 70 km south-east of Chinde town, Zambezia Province and 750 km north-west of the south-western coast of Madagascar with maximum sustained winds of 63 km/h (tropical storm).
According to to preliminary reports by the National Institute for Disaster Management (INGD), in Mozambique 100,410 people were affected, 9 people died and 20 were injured, more than 20,000 houses were totally or partially destroyed as well as 28 health centres and 59 schools. Media reported that in Malawi two people have been injured, 1,421 displaced and 3,500 affected across eight councils.
On 10 March, the Copernicus Emergency Management Service was activated in rapid mapping mode () three maps had been produced so far.
JUDE is forecasted to move south-east over the Mozambique channel on 13-14 March, lightly strengthening, and to make landfall between 14 and 15 March over south-western Madagascar.
On 13-14 March, heavy to very heavy rainfall and strong winds are expected over southern Malawi and central-northern Mozambique as well as on 15-16 March over most of southern Madagascar.

JUDE-25 - Copernicus EMS activation Fri, 14 Mar 2025 01:50

[EMSR793] Tropical Cyclone JUDE in Mozambique

Mozambique, Malawi, Madagascar - Tropical cyclone JUDE, update (ECHO 19 Mar 2025) Fri, 14 Mar 2025 10:41

On 13 March, tropical cyclone JUDE continued south-east over the southern Mozambique Channel toward south-western Madagascar as a tropical storm, slightly strengthening. On 14 March at 6.00 UTC its centre was located offshore approximately 230 km east of the Anakao municipality, Atsimo-Andrefana region, with maximum sustained winds of 108 km/h (tropical storm).
Media report, as of 14 March, nine fatalities, 20 injured persons, around 100,000 affected people, and over 20,000 damaged houses across Mozambique. In addition, the Department of Disaster Management Affairs in Malawi reported that a total of 11,370 people were affected across 11 districts with Phalombe being the worst affected followed by Nsanje. Furthermore, six camps were established to provide shelter to displaced people.
On 10 March, the Copernicus Emergency Management Service was activated in rapid mapping mode () and four maps were produced so far.
JUDE is forecast to make landfall over the western coast of the Atsimo-Andrefana region (between Anakao and Itampolo municipalities) on 14 March in the evening, with maximum sustained winds up to 137 km/h (tropical cyclone).
Over the next 48 hours, heavy rainfall, strong winds, and storm surges are still forecast over most of Madagascar, southern Malawi, and central and southern Mozambique.

JUDE-25 - EC/ECHO daily map Fri, 14 Mar 2025 17:45

A new EC/ECHO daily map is now available

JUDE-25 - Copernicus EMS activation Sat, 15 Mar 2025 01:10

[EMSR793] Tropical Cyclone JUDE in Mozambique

Mozambique, Madagascar - Tropical cyclone JUDE, update (ECHO 22 Mar 2025) Mon, 17 Mar 2025 12:10

Tropical cyclone JUDE crossed southern Madagascar on 15 March and is moving south-east weakening and dissipating over the Indian Ocean.
Following its passage over northern and central-northern Mozambique on 9-12 March the humanitarian impact continued to increase.
According to the National Institute for Risk Management and Reduction (INGD), 16 people died -13 in Nampula, two in Zambezia and one in Niassa provinces - two people are missing and 59 others were injured. Additionally, almost 2,000 people have been evacuated in nine evacuation centres and 302,653 people have been affected across the provinces of Nampula, Zambezia, Tete, Niassa and Sofala.
In South of Madagascar, according to preliminary assessments, more than 14,000 people have been affected and more than 4,000 houses have been damaged or destroyed.
On 10 March, the Copernicus Emergency Management Service was activated in rapid mapping mode and four maps were produced so far. For the next 48 hours, moderate rainfall is still expected over northern and parts of central coastal Mozambique.

JUDE-25 - UNITAR-UNOSAT Activation Tue, 18 Mar 2025 12:56

UNITAR-UNOSAT Potentially Damaged Buildings has been activated

JUDE-25 - EC/ECHO daily map Tue, 18 Mar 2025 17:43

A new EC/ECHO daily map is now available

Mozambique, Malawi, Madagascar - Tropical cyclone JUDE, update GDACS, DG ECHO, UN OCHA, Copernicus EMSR (ECHO 24 Mar 2025) Wed, 19 Mar 2025 10:48

The passage of the tropical cyclone JUDE caused very heavy rainfall and floods, and flash floods resulted in an increased number of casualties and severe damage. JUDE passed over Madagascar, with two landfalls, on 7-8 March in the north and on 15 March in the south, over northern and central Mozambique on 10-12 March, and over southern Malawi on 11 March. Across the three aforementioned countries, JUDE affected approximately 420,000 people.
DG ECHO, UN OCHA and national authorities report, as of 18 March, 16 fatalities, one missing, 135 injured people, nearly 385,000 affected presons and more than 88,000 damaged houses across Mozambique.
In Madagascar, the same sources report one fatality, one injured, more than 10,500 displaced people, over 15,000 affected people, and nearly 4,000 damaged houses.
In Malawi, three missing, around 4,900 displaced people, and approximately 20,650 affected people were reported.
The Copernicus Emergency Management Service was activated in rapid mapping mode () for Mozambique and four maps were produced so far.

JUDE-25 - UNITAR-UNOSAT Activation Thu, 20 Mar 2025 02:54

UNITAR-UNOSAT Potentially Damaged Buildings has been activated

JUDE-25 - UNITAR-UNOSAT Activation Fri, 21 Mar 2025 13:22

UNITAR-UNOSAT Potentially Damaged Buildings has been activated

JUDE-25 - Copernicus EMS activation Sun, 23 Mar 2025 18:00

[EMSR796] Flood In Ecuador

JUDE-25 - Copernicus EMS activation Sat, 05 Apr 2025 19:33

[EMSR796] Flood In Ecuador

JUDE-25 - Copernicus EMS activation Sun, 06 Apr 2025 18:11

[EMSR796] Flood In Ecuador

JUDE-25 - Copernicus EMS activation Mon, 07 Apr 2025 23:00

[EMSR796] Flood In Ecuador

JUDE-25 - Copernicus EMS activation Tue, 08 Apr 2025 01:49

[EMSR796] Flood In Ecuador

JUDE-25 - Copernicus EMS activation Tue, 29 Apr 2025 17:53

[EMSR796] Flood In Ecuador

JUDE-25 - Copernicus EMS activation Fri, 02 May 2025 09:11

[EMSR796] Flood In Ecuador

JUDE-25 - Copernicus EMS activation Thu, 01 May 2025 18:15

[EMSR796] Flood In Ecuador

JUDE-25 - Copernicus EMS activation Sat, 03 May 2025 18:10

[EMSR796] Flood In Ecuador

Detailed event map. European Union, 2025. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

Mozambique, Malawi, Madagascar - Tropical cyclone JUDE, update (UN OCH.. 3/12/2025 1:07:00 PM .

+ 2 more Mozambique, Malawi, Madagascar - Tropical cyclone JUDE, update (UN OCHA, GDACS, Meteo France La Reunio, Copernicus EMSR, INGD/National Institute for Disaster Management in Mozambique) (ECHO Daily Flash of 12 March 2025) On 11 Marc

...(more)

Mozambique: EN1 “cut” in Nampula 3/11/2025 2:12:00 PM .

The National Road No. 1 (EN1) is cut in the area of ??the Anchilo Control Post. The cut is due to the volume of rainwater, which accompanies the severe tropical storm JUDE. The work on the EN1 will begin this Tuesday, but there is still no

...(more)

Mozambique - Tropical storm JUDE (Aristotle Emergency Reporting, Relie.. 3/9/2025 10:41:00 PM .

On 9 March, Tropical storm JUDE is strengthening in the Mozambique channel. It is currently a Moderate Tropical Storm (equivalent to a Tropical storm in the Saffir-Simpson scale) with max sustained winds near 85 kph and estimated gusts of 1

...(more)

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.