Tropical Cyclone KRATHON-24
Location
Taiwan
Date
2024-09-27
to 2024-10-03
Coordinates
Lat:
23.0
Lon:
120.9
Danger Scale
Disaster Details
Event summary
Tropical Cyclone KRATHON-24 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.
| GDACS ID | TC 1001105 |
| Name | KRATHON-24 |
| From - To | 27 Sep - 03 Oct |
| Exposed countries | China, Philippines, Taiwan |
| Exposed population | 4.9 million in Category 1 or higher |
| Maximum wind speed | 241 km/h Category 4 |
| Maximum storm surge | 0.4 m (01 Oct 06:00 UTC) |
| Vulnerability | Medium (Philippines) |
GDACS Score
| Wind | Storm surge | Rainfall | GDACS score | |
| GDACS JTWC | 241 km/h | 0.8 m | n.a. | 1.5 | Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall) |
| HWRF | 187 km/h | 0.9 m | 995 mm | 0.5 |
| GFS | 202 km/h | 1 m | 1274 mm | 1.5 |
| ECMWF | 144 km/h | 1 m | 1389 mm | 0.5 |
- A new tropical cyclone named KRATHON (termed "Julian" in the Philippines) formed over the northern Philippine Sea on 27 September early in the morning (UTC) and started moving north-west toward the Luzon Strait (between northern Philippines and southern Taiwan), strenghtening. On 30 September at 6.00 UTC its centre was located offshore over the Luzon Strait approximately 160 km south of the far southern Taiwan coast and 205 km north of the far northern Luzon (northern Philippines), with maximum sustained winds of approximately 200 km/h (typhoon).
- KRATHON is expected to continue northwestward over the sea on 30 September - 2 October, strenghtening. After that it is forecast to make lanfall over the Kaohsiung city area (south-western Taiwan) on 2 October early in the morning (UTC), with maximum sustained winds up to 204 km/h (typhoon).
- Over the next 96 hours, very heavy rainfall, strong winds and storms surges are forecast over northern Luzon and the whole Taiwan.
- Tropical cyclone KRATHON (called "Julian" in the Philippines) crossed the Batanes islands, Philippines on 30 September and continued west-northwest over the northern South China Sea. On 1 October at 6.00 UTC, its centre was located offshore approximately 176 km south-west of Hengchun city, southern Taiwan, with maximum sustained winds of approximately 198 km/h (typhoon).
- After its passage over the northern Philippines, KRATHON brought heavy rainfall and strong winds that resulted in floods and severe weather-related incidents. The National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council of Philippines (NDRRMC) reports almost 2,000 displaced people and more than 77,200 affected across the regions of Ilocos, Cagayan Valley and Cordillera.
- In Taiwan, the authorities preventively evacuated more than 500 people living in mountainous regions prone to landslides.
- KRATHON is forecast to change direction moving north-east towards the south-eastern coasts of Taiwan on 1 October, after that it could make landfall over the coast of Tainan municipality area on 3 October.
- For the next 72 hours, heavy to very heavy rainfall and strong winds are expected across most of central and southern Taiwan, Babuyan and Batanes islands, Philippines.
- Tropical cyclone KRATHON (named "Julian" in the Philippines) continue northwestward over the Luzon Strait (between northern Philippines and southern Taiwan) on 1 October, as a typhoon. On 2 October at 3.00 UTC its centre was located offshore over the Luzon Strait approximately 120 km south-west of the Kaohsiung city area, south-western Taiwan, with maximum sustained winds of approximately 205 km/h (typhoon).
- Its passage very close to the northern Philippines over 29-30 September caused heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surges resulted in floods and a number of severe weather-related incidents. NDRRMC reports, as of 2 October, one person still missing, eight injured people, more than 5,400 displaced people (of which 2,176 in 58 evacuation centres) and a total of over 149,000 affected people across northern Luzon island.
- KRATHON is expected to make landfall over the Kaohsiung city area on 2 October in the evening (UTC), with maximum sustained winds up to 167 km/h (typhoon).
- Over the next 48 hours, very heavy rainfall, strong winds and storms surges are forecast over the whole Taiwan.
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- Tropical cyclone KRATHON (named "Julian" in the Philippines) made landfall over the Kaohsiung city area, far south-western Taiwan on 3 October very early in the morning (UTC). On 3 October at 6.00 UTC its centre was located inland just over the the Kaohsiung city area (south-western Taiwan), with maximum sustained winds of 126 km/h (typhoon).
- Its passage very close to the northern Philippines over 29-30 September caused heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surges resulted in floods and a number of severe weather-related incidents. The National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council of Philippines (NDRRMC) reports, as of 3 October, one fatality, one person missing, eight injured, 5,251 displaced and a total of nearly 200,000 affected people across northern Luzon island. In Taiwan, media and the Central Emergency Operations centre report two fatalities, 219 injured, one missing and 10,208 persons evacuated.
- KRATHON is expected to continue northward inland over Kaohsiung, Tainan, Chiayi and Yunlin Counties, western Taiwan on 3-4 October, weakening into a tropical storm.
- Over the next 48 hours, very heavy rainfall, strong winds and storms surges are forecast over the whole Taiwan.
- Tropical cyclone KRATHON made landfall over the Kaohsiung city area, far south-western Taiwan on 3 October very early in the morning (UTC) and on 4 October became a tropical depression and dissipated over central Taiwan.
- In Taiwan following its passage, media report two fatalities, one still missing person and nearly 500 injured people.
- In the Philippines, according to the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC), three people died, eight have been injureed and one person is still missing after KRATHON crossed the northern regions on 29-30 September. Moreover, more than 219,000 people have been affected across three regions.
- For the next 24 hours, moderate rain is still expected across most parts of Taiwan and northern Philippines.
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Exposed population
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